Democratic political operative James Carville is trying to calm jittery Democratic nerves ahead of next month's presidential election.
Writing in the New York Times, Carville makes the case that Vice President Kamala Harris will prevail in the 2024 presidential election even though polls currently show the race to be a dead heat.
One of Carville's biggest arguments is that her opponent, former President Donald Trump, has faced defeat on multiple occasions and has lost the popular vote in every election in which he has participated.
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"Trump is a repeat electoral loser," Carville writes. "This time will be no different."
He then documents how Trump not only lost the 2020 presidential election, but how Republicans in the Trump era have been dealt one defeat after another, including getting blown out in the 2018 midterm elections and suffering a historically weak midterm election performance in 2022.
"There simply do not seem to be enough voters — even in the battleground states — who turn out at Mr. Trump’s behest anymore when he’s simply preaching to his base," Carville posited. "He has not learned from his electoral losses nor done the necessary work to assemble a broad electoral coalition in 2024."
Carville then documents the massive fundraising disparity between Trump and Harris, who has raised more than $1 billion for her campaign.
And finally, Carville argues that his gut simply tells him Harris is on her way to victory.
"We are constantly told that America is too divided, too hopelessly stricken by tribalism, to grasp the stakes," he writes. "That is plain wrong. If the Cheneys and A.O.C. get that the Constitution and our democracy are on the ballot, every true conservative and every true progressive should get it too. A vast majority of Americans are rational, reasonable people of good will. I refuse to believe that the same country that has time and again overcome its mistakes to bend its future toward justice will make the same mistake twice. America overcame Mr. Trump in 2020. I know that we know we are better than this."
