During his “Reality Check” segment on CNN’s “New Day” analyst John Avlon took a hard look at President Donald Trump’s boast in Orlando that he could be re-elected with only the support of his rabid base — and then disabused the president of the notion.
At his rally on Tuesday night, Trump claimed he didn’t need additional voters to remain in the Oval Office after the 2020 election, telling his adoring fans, “I think my base is so strong, I’m not sure I have to do that.”
According to Avlon, the president is bluffing.
“Donald Trump doesn’t need no stinking swing voters to get re-elected,” Avlon smirked as he began. “He said ‘I think my base is so strong, I don’t think I have to do that,’ and this is play to the base on steroids but it fits the way he’s governed.”
“Trump is massively popular within the Republican Party,” the CNN analyst continued. “But he’s the only president in the history of Gallup polling never to be above 50 percent approval rating in his presidency and no president has been re-elected with a net negative rating. He can’t ignore swing voters and be re-elected and that’s because the base isn’t big enough to win on its own.”
“Only 30 percent of Americans identify as Republican, Democrats 31 percent while independents are at 38 percent, ” he elaborated. “.Donald Trump won the independent vote over Hillary Clinton 46 percent to 42 percent. In part that may be because Trump was seen as less conservative. Democrats won independent voters big-time in the 2018 midterms by a 12-point margin and that’s three times what Trump won them by before — and that trend is not Trump’s friend.”
Oklahoma governor tests positive for COVID-19 weeks after attending Trump’s Tulsa rally
Fearing jail and facing defeat: Don’t expect Trump to leave office quietly
The presidency of Donald John Trump is collapsing. Unwilling or unable to confront the deadly realities of the COVID-19 pandemic, which has claimed more than 138,000 American lives, the president’s job-approval ratings have plummeted. The ravages of the virus, in turn, have triggered a deep economic slump, pushing unemployment rates to levels not seen since the Great Depression of the 1930s. There is a growing perception that our 45th commander in chief, never known for his intellectual acuity or moral rectitude, is unfit to lead the nation in this moment of extreme crisis.
‘Texas could go Democrat’: Fox Business host tells GOPer that COVID-19 surge is costing Republicans
Fox Business host Stuart Varney noted on Wednesday that Texas "could go Democrat" in the next presidential election because COVID-19 cases are surging in the state.
During an interview with Rep. Dan Crenshaw (R-TX), Varney noted that Texas now has over 10,000 hospitalizations because of the virus.
For his part, Crenshaw sought to downplay the surge in cases by focusing on other metrics.
"We have to pay attention to all the data, not just the scariest data," Crenshaw opined. "The trend [of hospitalizations] is going in the right direction. Our death rate in Texas continues to be one of the best in the world actually."