President Donald Trump may have energized a massive voter bloc that could sink the Republican Party's chances of holding onto their congressional majorities, according to a new analysis.
CNN's Harry Enten zoomed in on polling that measured the opinions of registered voters who stayed home in 2024, and he found their view on the 79-year-old president has soured tremendously in the first year and a half of his second term.
"They have become absolutely perturbed," Enten said. "I dare say they are p---ed off at the president of the United States, voters who didn't cast a ballot in 2024. Trump's net approval rating back in November of 2024, just after the election. Look at his net approval rating, was plus-four points for his plans in office. But look at that, it is falling. Yeah, whoo! There you go."
" CNN News Central" host Sara Sidner whistled in astonishment at the graphic Enten showed on screen.
"It has fallen through the floor, look at this – minus-50 points on Trump's approval rating among voters who did not, in fact, cast a ballot in 2024," Enten said. "That is, you don't have to be a mathematical genius. An over 50-point move against the president of the United States among those who are kind of like, meh, you know, in terms of voting in 2024, but now they are p---ed off."
Enten drilled into that simmering anger and found it's largely driven by affordability concerns.
"Look, anyone who's been following these segments, anyone who knows anything about American politics knows it's the economy," he said. "It is the economy, smarty pants ... and you can just see it here. I mean, view of Trump in the economy, again, among voters who did not cast a vote in 2024, in November of 2024, 60 percent were confident in Trump to make good decisions when it came to the economy. But, again, this number has just absolutely plummeted. Look at his approval rating now on the economy among those who didn't cast a ballot in 2024, it's 19 percent. It's only a third, a third of those who are confident back in November of 2024. Again, we are just talking about numbers that are falling through the basement."
Just because those voters didn't cast ballots in 2024 doesn't mean that will be the case in November, according to Enten.
"This is the key question, because it's not just about persuasion – it's about turnout, baby," Enten said. "It's about turnout, and these folks are not just p---ed off and want to vote Democratic, a lot of them are actually very likely to vote. Okay, voters who didn't cast a ballot in 2024 for their 2026 choice for the House. Look at this, Democrats are winning amongst them by 31 points, and 48 percent of them are either very likely or almost certain to vote in the midterm elections."
"So this is a group I'm really paying a lot of attention on, because the reason why Democrats are doing so well in the generic ballot is, in large part, among those who stayed home in 2024," he added. "Many of them will vote in 2026, and they won't be voting Republican. They'll be voting Democratic because truth is, they're just p---ed off at the president of the United States."
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