In an interview with the Miami Herald, the political analyst who has predicted the correct results of seven of the last eight presidential elections claimed Donald Trump is unlikely to win re-election in 2024 and that the prospects of his even running look equally dismal.
Speaking with the Herald's Andrés Oppenheimer, Newsweek is reporting that Allan Lichtman, a Distinguished Professor of History at American University, said the ex-president has an overwhelming burden of problems that will make running a successful campaign almost impossible.
In the interview, Lichtman stated Trump has "... $400 million-plus in loans coming due. His brand is failing. His businesses are failing. He has a huge IRS audit. He doesn't hold office anymore. He's lost his Twitter."
He went on to add, "That's a lot of baggage for somebody to run for president."
Lichtman -- whose predictive model showed Trump's startling win in 2016 and loss in 2020 to former Vice President Joe Biden -- said the former president experienced a startling collapse leading up to the 2020 election.
"Never in the history of the United States has the White House party suffered such a sudden and dramatic reversal of fortune in just a few months," he stated before last November's election.
He added that it was questionable that Biden would run for re-election, saying, "There's no precedent in American history for starting the presidency at age 78, either. But, as we know, precedents are made to be broken."
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