Vice President JD Vance made demonstrably false and misleading claims about manufacturing job growth in speeches on Monday and Tuesday, according to a fact-check of his statements.
On Monday in Missouri, Vance claimed the first quarter of 2026 saw "the biggest growth in manufacturing employment last quarter that we have seen in this country since Donald J. Trump was president the first time," but CNN's Daniel Dale found no evidence to support his statement.
"One of Vance’s questions was this: 'How is it that we’ve seen the biggest growth in manufacturing employment last quarter that we have seen in this country since Donald J. Trump was president the first time?'" Dale wrote. "The answer is … we haven’t seen that."
The economy added only 18,000 manufacturing jobs in the first quarter of 2026 — substantially smaller than gains during six of seven full quarters under the Biden administration in 2021 and 2022.
Biden-era manufacturing job gains included 137,000 in Q1 2022, 146,000 in Q3 2021, and 144,000 in Q4 2021. Even Q2 2021 produced 18,000 jobs — matching rather than trailing this year's performance.
On Tuesday, Vance claimed there had been "great rebounds" in manufacturing jobs under Trump-Vance leadership, but this characterization is also misleading. Despite the 18,000 first-quarter gain, the economy has lost a net 77,000 manufacturing jobs since the administration's first full month in office in February 2025 through April 2026. Manufacturing employment declined every month of 2025 and again in April 2026, according to preliminary data.
Vance's office declined to comment on the discrepancies. White House officials acknowledged gains in construction jobs related to manufacturing facility development but offered no substantive response to the overall manufacturing employment decline.
The fact-check notes that while some manufacturing data show positive indicators — including manufacturing sector activity expanding for four consecutive months in 2026 — Vance's characterization of a "great rebound" omits crucial context: the recent gains represent only a partial recovery from losses incurred under his administration.
The administration's volatile tariff policies may have contributed to job losses, though long-term manufacturing employment has trended downward since peaking in the late 1970s.
