A poll showing Kamala Harris three points ahead in Iowa shocked many observers and reportedly "rattled" Donald Trump, but a veteran political reporter said that survey was no outlier.
Respected pollster J. Ann Selzer found that support for Trump, who won Iowa in each of his previous elections, had shifted seven points since September, when he led by four points, and and dropped a whopping 21 points since June, when he led president Joe Biden by 18 points.
What's more, Politico's Jonathan Martin told MSNBC's "Morning Joe" that another survey showed similar results.
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"I think Trump has been stung in the closing weeks of the campaign less about anything he did as president, with the exception of the three judges he put on the court that overturned Roe, but his conduct now," Martin said. "It's hard to imagine what Trump would do differently if he was trying to lose the race in the final two weeks here. He has said and done so many inflammatory things that are uniquely alienating for the voters he needs, namely women in the political center. He is alienating them every day."
"Final point on the Iowa question," Martin added. "I've heard of other private polling in Iowa that shows a number that's not terribly far away from what Selzer had, in part because the abortion ban has just gone in effect in that state, and I think that is animating women in Iowa. The question is, will that extend to Wisconsin and Michigan, states not far away. Those Iowa numbers I think are not that far off from where the race is going to land."
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